Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.054987 0.064537 0.075199 0.087979 0.102877 0.119692 0.140107
2025-08-10 0.041082 0.053745 0.069425 0.090238 0.117119 0.150650 0.195646
2025-08-17 0.031017 0.044146 0.061755 0.087045 0.122385 0.169972 0.238896
2025-08-24 0.025259 0.038541 0.057570 0.086724 0.130179 0.192463 0.288459
2025-08-31 0.020909 0.033895 0.053596 0.085520 0.135829 0.211926 0.335652
2025-09-07 0.018283 0.031278 0.052020 0.087344 0.145823 0.238577 0.396654
2025-09-14 0.015690 0.028209 0.049145 0.086465 0.151104 0.258172 0.448658
2025-09-21 0.013384 0.025203 0.045850 0.084253 0.153614 0.273220 0.494646
2025-09-28 0.011435 0.022493 0.042618 0.081574 0.154756 0.285789 0.537554
2025-10-05 0.010437 0.021377 0.042058 0.083594 0.164505 0.314485 0.612684
2025-10-12 0.009415 0.020045 0.040882 0.084231 0.171643 0.339108 0.683072
2025-10-19 0.008512 0.018807 0.039698 0.084646 0.178321 0.363506 0.755802
2025-10-26 0.007773 0.017819 0.038920 0.085862 0.186941 0.393069 0.843285
2025-11-02 0.007242 0.017204 0.038835 0.088530 0.198955 0.430968 0.952806
2025-11-09 0.006318 0.015555 0.036290 0.085487 0.198291 0.442468 1.007955
2025-11-16 0.005717 0.014562 0.035056 0.085190 0.203617 0.467292 1.095054
2025-11-23 0.005132 0.013512 0.033539 0.084009 0.206736 0.487571 1.174373
2025-11-30 0.004795 0.013029 0.033289 0.085803 0.217039 0.525198 1.298111
2025-12-07 0.004345 0.012182 0.032031 0.084940 0.220796 0.548069 1.389716
2025-12-14 0.003880 0.011220 0.030349 0.082766 0.221000 0.562480 1.462518
2025-12-21 0.003448 0.010278 0.028588 0.080133 0.219674 0.572972 1.526818
2025-12-28 0.003263 0.010004 0.028557 0.082118 0.230685 0.615532 1.677987
2026-01-04 0.003037 0.009579 0.028055 0.082744 0.238133 0.649848 1.811805